{"id":11633,"date":"2025-06-25T08:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-06-25T06:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.blog.neoprog.eu\/?p=11633"},"modified":"2025-06-21T12:05:24","modified_gmt":"2025-06-21T10:05:24","slug":"lequation-de-drake","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.blog.neoprog.eu\/index.php\/2025\/06\/25\/lequation-de-drake\/","title":{"rendered":"L’\u00e9quation de Drake"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

L\u2019\u00e9quation de Drake, invent\u00e9 par Frank Drake en 1961, vise \u00e0 estimer le nombre de civilisations extraterrestres avec qui nous pourrions entrer en contact.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Je vais vous proposer une nouvelle version de cette formule, afin d\u2019estimer le nombre d\u2019extraterrestres vivant aujourd\u2019hui sur Terre comme ceux du film Men In Black ou bien de la s\u00e9rie V.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Commen\u00e7ons par la premi\u00e8re variable d\u2019ajustement, le nombre d\u2019\u00eatres humains sur Terre. Pourquoi ce nombre ? Parce que tout le monde le sais, les extraterrestres se cachent sur notre plan\u00e8te en prenant l\u2019apparence de l\u2019esp\u00e8ce dominante, les humains. Vous n\u2019avez pas regard\u00e9 la s\u00e9rie Les Envahisseurs avec David Vincent ?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Donc notre premi\u00e8re variable P<\/strong> est de 8,000,000,000 \u00e0 la louche. \u00c7a en fait du monde.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Mais parmi les humains, combien sont des extraterrestres ? D\u00e9j\u00e0 nous devons \u00e9liminer les femmes de l\u2019\u00e9quation, les aliens ne se cachent jamais dans le corps d\u2019une femme. C\u2019est beaucoup trop contraignant. Il n\u2019y a que dans des films comme La Mutante que l\u2019on fait croire ce genre d\u2019inepties. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Notre seconde variable d\u2019ajustement S<\/strong> est donc 1\/2 car il y a autant de femmes que d\u2019hommes sur Terre, sauf en Chine suite \u00e0 la politique de l\u2019enfant unique. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tous les aliens restent connect\u00e9s \u00e0 Internet 24 heures sur 24 pour communiquer entre eux. En effet leurs pouvoirs t\u00e9l\u00e9pathiques sont fortement perturb\u00e9s par la b\u00eatise humaine qui parasite les ondes. D\u2019apr\u00e8s les statistiques, environ 70% de la population mondiale poss\u00e8de un acc\u00e8s \u00e0 Internet. C\u2019est notre troisi\u00e8me variable I<\/strong> qui a la valeur 7\/10.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Les extraterrestres n\u2019\u00e9coutent pas de musique contrairement \u00e0 90% de la population, ils \u00e9coutent du rock progressif, ce qui n\u2019est pas la m\u00eame chose notez bien. Il s\u2019agit en effet de la seule construction sonore assez complexe pour chatouiller leur intellect \u00e9volu\u00e9. C\u2019est la variable M<\/strong> \u00e9gale \u00e0 1\/10. N\u2019oublions pas que les amateurs de rock progressif ont presque tous plus de 50 ans. Et 30% de la population mondiale a plus de 50 ans. Voici notre nouvelle variable A<\/strong> qui est \u00e9gale \u00e0 0.3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Les aliens sont tous francophones, car il s\u2019agit de la langue \u00e0 l\u2019orthographe la plus difficile \u00e0 ma\u00eetriser, un challenge de plus pour nos aliens exil\u00e9s. C\u2019est la variable L<\/strong>. Les francophones repr\u00e9sentent seulement 4% de la population, en forte baisse depuis la fin des colonies. Quelle mis\u00e8re !<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Les extraterrestres vivant sur terre n\u2019esp\u00e8rent qu\u2019une chose, quitter notre plan\u00e8te parce qu\u2019elle est pollu\u00e9e et que son atmosph\u00e8re sent les produits chimiques. Nous on appelle \u00e7a la chlorophylle. Du coup ils scrutent sans cesse le ciel avec des t\u00e9lescopes pour surveiller l\u2019\u00e9ventuelle arriv\u00e9e d\u2019un vaisseau m\u00e8re. Et les astronomes amateurs ne repr\u00e9sentent en France que 0,07% de la population. C\u2019est la variable O<\/em>.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Les aliens lisent de la science-fiction, \u00e7a les fait mourir de rire tellement les r\u00e9cits sont absurdes. 86% des fran\u00e7ais lisent des romans et 82% d\u2019entre eux lisent de la SF. C\u2019est notre variable F<\/strong> \u00e9gale \u00e0 0.7.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Enfin les extraterrestres qui poss\u00e8dent des mat\u00e9riaux rares en grande quantit\u00e9, vivent tr\u00e8s au-dessus de l\u2019humain moyen. Ils rentrent tous dans le club tr\u00e8s ferm\u00e9 des 1%, c\u2019est \u00e0 dire ceux qui poss\u00e8dent plus de 1,8 millions d\u2019euros de patrimoine brut. C\u2019est notre derni\u00e8re variable d\u2019ajustement R<\/strong> qui est \u00e9gale \u00e0 0.01.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Voil\u00e0, nous y sommes. Le nombre d\u2019extraterrestres N<\/strong> se calcule ainsi avec l\u2019\u00e9quation Drake Le Brun :<\/p>\n\n\n\n

N = P x S x I x M x A x L x O x F x R\u00a0<\/p><\/blockquote><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Il existe un moyen m\u00e9mo technique tout simple pour se souvenir de la formule, c\u2019est celui-ci : Forma Slip<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Quant au r\u00e9sultat th\u00e9orique de cette \u00e9quation, N \u00e9gal \u00e0 dix-sept.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Oui, l\u2019\u00e9quation Drake Le Brun pr\u00e9dit la pr\u00e9sence sur Terre de seulement dix-sept extraterrestres cach\u00e9s au milieu des huit milliards d\u2019autres habitants. C\u2019est peu. Ils pourraient \u00eatre les rescap\u00e9s d\u2019un crash de vaisseau spatial, mais ce ne sont que des conjectures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ce qui est beau, c\u2019est que la pr\u00e9diction de l\u2019\u00e9quation Drake Le Brun est confirm\u00e9e par l\u2019observation. En moyenne, le blog Neoprog.eu re\u00e7oit un petite vingtaine de visiteurs par jour. Et ce blog parle principalement de rock progressif, d\u2019astronomie et de science-fiction. Tous ses lecteurs sont donc des aliens.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Si vous ne vous reconnaissez pas dans cet \u00e9chantillon, c\u2019est certainement \u00e0 cause de la derni\u00e8re variable. Celle des 1%. Mais je ne suis pas dupe. Je sais bien que vous trichez lors de votre d\u00e9claration de patrimoine\u2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

L\u2019\u00e9quation de Drake, invent\u00e9 par Frank Drake en 1961, vise \u00e0 estimer le nombre de civilisations extraterrestres avec qui nous pourrions entrer en contact. 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